[Dispatch] Fwd: Fire Weather Heads up for today through Thursday

Tue Mar 11 08:24:19 EDT 2014

Please see the weather update from   Captain Denzer

Walter J. Groman CFE, CFO
District Chief
Westlake Fire Department-ESD 9

Sent from my iPhone

Begin forwarded message:

From: randy denzer <randy_denzer at yahoo.com<mailto:randy_denzer at yahoo.com>>
Date: March 11, 2014 at 7:06:31 AM CDT
To: Walter Groman <wgroman at westlakefd.org<mailto:wgroman at westlakefd.org>>
Subject: Fw: Fire Weather Heads up for today through Thursday
Reply-To: randy denzer <randy_denzer at yahoo.com<mailto:randy_denzer at yahoo.com>>

----- Forwarded Message -----
From: "Denzer, Douglas" <Douglas.Denzer at austintexas.gov<mailto:Douglas.Denzer at austintexas.gov>>
To: Fire Wildfire Staff <FireWildfireStaff at austintexas.gov<mailto:FireWildfireStaff at austintexas.gov>>; "Evans, Harry" <Harry.Evans at austintexas.gov<mailto:Harry.Evans at austintexas.gov>>; "Fowler, Doug" <Doug.Fowler at austintexas.gov<mailto:Doug.Fowler at austintexas.gov>>; "Bailey, David" <David.Bailey at austintexas.gov<mailto:David.Bailey at austintexas.gov>>; "Clopton, Dawn" <Dawn.Clopton at austintexas.gov<mailto:Dawn.Clopton at austintexas.gov>>; "Frick, Michael" <Michael.Frick at austintexas.gov<mailto:Michael.Frick at austintexas.gov>>
Sent: Tuesday, March 11, 2014 7:04 AM
Subject: Fire Weather Heads up for today through Thursday

Fire Weather Heads up for today through Thursday as a dry line and dry cold front moves through our area.  Strong Gusty winds will be with us through Thursday. RHs could drop into the Twenty’s in our area later today . Fuels will dry out with the heat and high winds. We will have Elevated Fire weather conditions tomorrow.

Also note the Critical Fire weather in West Texas and the panhandle (on the graphic below). Today will be the second day of elevated fire weather for the area. We could see some large fires to our west.

SPC
Today Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, partly sunny, then gradually becoming sunny, with a high near 81. Southwest wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Tonight Clear, with a low around 48. West wind 10 to 15 mph becoming north 15 to 20 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 30 mph.
Wednesday Sunny, with a high near 63. Windy, with a north wind 20 to 25 mph, with gusts as high as 35 mph.
Wednesday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 38. North wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Thursday Sunny, with a high near 65. North wind around 5 mph becoming southeast in the afternoon.
Thursday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 42. South southeast wind 5 to 10 mph.
Friday Mostly cloudy, with a high near 71. South wind 5 to 15 mph.

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
639 AM CDT TUE MAR 11 2014

...ELEVATED TO NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EACH AFTERNOON
TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY DUE TO LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND STRONG
WINDS...

.DISCUSSION...
A DRYLINE WILL MOVE THROUGH SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS TODAY BRINGING DIRER
WARMER AIR. AS TEMPERATURES CLIMB THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL DROP BELOW
25 PERCENT ACROSS THE WESTERN EDWARDS PLATEAU AND RIO GRANDE PLAINS.
BEHIND THE DRYLINE A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH BRINGING STRONG...
GUSTY WINDS. WINDS WILL REACH CRITICAL LEVELS LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THE COOLER AIR WILL HAVE HIGHER RELATIVE
HUMIDITY...SO CRITICAL CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED. TEMPERATURES WILL
WARM AGAIN THURSDAY AND AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL DROP BELOW
25 PERCENT. SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL BRING HIGHER DEW POINT AIR BACK
IN FOR THE WEEKEND. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/
SUNDAY BRINGING A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR WETTING RAIN TO THE EASTERN HALF OF
THE FORECAST AREA.

TXZ173-191-192-120345-
WILLIAMSON-HAYS-TRAVIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GEORGETOWN...SAN MARCOS...AUSTIN
639 AM CDT TUE MAR 11 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        CLEAR
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
TEMP (24H TREND)      81 (+10)     43 (-12)     63
RH % (24H TREND)      31 (-20)     82 (-18)     26
20FTWND-AM(MPH)       SW 10                     N 23
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       SW 14        SW 12        N 20
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)    3585                      4095
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     N 28
CWR                   0            0            0
LAL                   1            1            1
HAINES INDEX          4            5            3

Fire Danger is Moderate for central Texas today but could elevate up to High by tomorrow.

[cid:1.2407408546 at web122101.mail.ne1.yahoo.com]

Today, just to our west

[cid:2.2407408546 at web122101.mail.ne1.yahoo.com]

Tomorrow

[cid:3.2407408546 at web122101.mail.ne1.yahoo.com]

Randy Denzer

[cid:image001.png at 01CF3CF4.B05793D0]
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