[Dispatch] Fwd: Fire Weather Heads up for early tomorrow: Red Flag warning, High Wind Advisory

Mon Mar 4 20:32:36 EST 2013

Below is a weather update from Capt. Denzer

Walter

Begin forwarded message:

From: "D. Randy Denzer" <randy_denzer at yahoo.com<mailto:randy_denzer at yahoo.com>>
Date: March 4, 2013, 6:41:44 PM CST
To: Randy Denzer <randy at randydenzer.com<mailto:randy at randydenzer.com>>
Subject: Fire Weather Heads up for early tomorrow: Red Flag warning, High Wind Advisory

Wildland Folks,
  The Temps and Winds have been high enough to continue drying Central Texas out.. Tomorrow morning we will have a front roll through that will bring high winds just after sunup. There is a red flag for tomorrow starting at 0600. Note that Gusts are estimated to hit 45 mph between 1000 and 1400. Anticipate powerline starts during these peak winds.

  The winds will lay down in the late afternoon.

Latest Wind Advisory
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM CST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED A
WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM CST TUESDAY.

* TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE FELT AROUND 8 AM TO 12 PM
  ACROSS THE HILL COUNTRY...10 AM TO 2 PM ACROSS THE I-35 CORRIDOR
  AND 12 PM TO 4 PM ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHERN COUNTIES.

* WINDS...NORTHERLY WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

* IMPACTS...LIGHT WEIGHT OBJECTS SUCH AS TRASH CANS...PATIO
  FURNITURE AND LAWN DECORATIONS WILL BE BLOWN AROUND. BLOWING
  DUST POSSIBLE. HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES MAY BE DIFFICULT TO
  CONTROL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 26 TO 39 MPH ARE
EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...
ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

Fire weather
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
352 PM CST MON MAR 4 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 8 PM CST TUESDAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CST THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
A DRY-LINE OVER THE NORTHWEST PORTION OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
THIS AFTERNOON IS CREATING CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ACROSS PARTS OF THE EDWARDS PLATEAU AND HILL COUNTRY DUE TO
DRY SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES. THE DRY-LINE WILL
PUSH BACK THIS EVENING AS A STRONGER SOUTHERLY FLOW RETURNS.
HOWEVER...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL RETURN TUESDAY
AS A DRY FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE AREA WITH STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS
BEHIND IT. EXPECT STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH
GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH TO AFFECT SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS DURING
THE DAY ON TUESDAY. WINDS TO DECREASE BELOW CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
LEVELS DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS.

DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE AREA FOR MUCH OF THE WORK WEEK
WITH CHANCES OF WETTING RAIN EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND AS AN UPPER TROUGH
AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVES OVER SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS LATE SATURDAY
INTO SUNDAY.

TXZ173-191-192-051400-
WILLIAMSON-HAYS-TRAVIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GEORGETOWN...SAN MARCOS...AUSTIN
352 PM CST MON MAR 4 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 8 PM CST TUESDAY...

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
TEMP (24H TREND)      44 (-9)      65 (-20)     29           64
RH % (24H TREND)      98 (+7)      16 (-3)      60           15
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    N 24 G32                  N  6
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       S 12         N 22 G29     N 14         E  6
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 3804                      2770
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 24                      E  7
CWR                   0            0            0            0
LAL                   1            1            1            1
HAINES INDEX          5            3            4            4

Randy Denzer

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