[Dispatch] Fwd: Fire Weather Heads up, RED FLAG TODAY

[Walter J. Groman]

Please see the weather update from Capt. Denzer

Walter

Sent from my iPhone

Begin forwarded message:

From: "D. Randy Denzer" <randy_denzer at yahoo.com<mailto:randy_denzer at yahoo.com>>
Date: March 3, 2013, 8:40:24 AM CST
To: Randy Denzer <randy at randydenzer.com<mailto:randy at randydenzer.com>>
Subject: Fire Weather Heads up, RED FLAG TODAY


Fire Weather Heads up



Wildland folks,

   Red Flag today and elevated Fire Weather situation through Wednesday. Dry winds are going to be picking up this afternoon and be with us until at least Wednesday.

   A Low Pressure System is now moving across the Plains and will bring very dry and windy south / southwest winds through Monday night. Expect RH’s to drop to the low 20s / upper teens during the day. Around 0100-0200 Tuesday morning, A cold front will arrive and the winds will shift to North winds increasing to 20-25 mph with gusts to 30. Tuesday will most likely be another Red Flag day.

  Fuels are now very dry and ready to burn. Especially note that the 100 hr fuels are now becoming more readily available to burn. http://ticc.tamu.edu/PredictiveServices/FuelsFireDanger.htm

All the ingredients are coming together to possibly see multi operational period fires.



SPC
•  Today Sunny, with a high near 75. South southwest wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
•  Tonight Mostly clear, with a low around 49. South wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
•  Monday Mostly sunny, with a high near 85. South southwest wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
•  Monday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 50. South southwest wind 10 to 15 mph becoming north after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph.
•  Tuesday Sunny, with a high near 66. Windy, with a north wind 15 to 25 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.
•  Tuesday Night Clear, with a low around 37. North wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
•  Wednesday Sunny, with a high near 66. North wind 5 to 10 mph.

•  Wednesday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40. East northeast wind around 5 mph becoming southeast after midnight.



Fire Weather
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
559 AM CST SUN MAR 3 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
A STORM SYSTEM MOVING INTO CENTRAL UNITED STATES MONDAY WILL
CREATE BREEZY AND DRY SOUTH WINDS OVER SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
TODAY...AND WINDY AND DRY CONDITIONS BEHIND A COLD FRONT MONDAY
NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. DRIEST CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE RIO
GRANDE AND OVER THE SOUTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU...WHERE MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES COULD FALL NEAR 10 PERCENT TODAY.
HUMIDITIES EAST OF I-35 TODAY ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN THE
20S AND 30S.  STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH AND MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES IN THE TEENS ARE EXPECTED BEHIND THE COLD FRONT
THAT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING.


TXZ173-191-192-040400-
WILLIAMSON-HAYS-TRAVIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GEORGETOWN...SAN MARCOS...AUSTIN
559 AM CST SUN MAR 3 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM CST THIS
EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
TEMP (24H TREND)      75 (+15)     47 (+11)     84
RH % (24H TREND)      21 (-4)      93 (+17)     22
20FTWND-AM(MPH)       S 15                      SW 18
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       S 17         S 16         SW 17
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)    3772                      3124
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 30                      SW 26
CWR                   0            0            0
LAL                   1            1            1
HAINES INDEX          4            4            6

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND
70. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND PATCHY
DRIZZLE. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.




Randy Denzer

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